Tagged: swine flu

Initial swine flu forecasts are “suspect”

The first official forecast that the global swine flu pandemic, expected to return to the USA this fall,  could lead to two million people hospitalized and between 30,000 and 90,000 deaths are “suspect” and contribute to a “climate of scaremongering and shaky science,” claims Al Ozonoff.  He is a School of Public Health associate professor of […]

Preparing for the second wave of swine flu

As health officials prepare for the return of the H1N1 flu virus this fall, after stockpiling antiviral medications, recent staff cuts in public health departments raise concerns over having sufficient resources to carry out rapid vaccination plans. Alexander Ozonoff, assistant professor of biostatistics at the School of Public Health, can discuss the issues facing public […]

Don’t confuse swine flu spread with its severity

Each person infected with Influenza A (H1N1) will infect between 2.2 and 3.1 others  — a “reproduction ratio”  European researchers say is historically similar to  other influenza pandemics. Alexander Ozonoff, professor of biostatistics, stresses the spread of the flu virus is separate  from its severity. “On general virological principles we would expect that transmissibility correlates negatively with […]

The race to develop an H1N1 vaccine

Despite a rush by small companies to develop an H1N1 vaccine that could be produced in days and weeks instead of months in the current half-century old technique, any new technologies could not get through the regulatory process in time.  Alexander Ozonoff, assistant professor of biostatistics said new approaches will take awhile and no new […]

Contaigous swine flu could mix with bird flu and regular flu strains

As global health officals ponder “what if” scenarios over the mixing of the new H1N1 flu with bird flu that is endemic in Asia and/or regular flu in the southern hemisphere, researchers are grappling with new vaccine concerns and whether in the fall, a new flu strain combination will be more virulent. Alexander Ozonoff, a BU School of Public Health assistant professor of […]

Even if the new flu strain is waning here, there is still concern that it will spread southward

As fears of the deadly outbreak of influenza A H1N1 have diminished with Mexico City returning to “normalcy,” and fewer US schools closings, this “swine flu” is still around and may be spreading less aggressively than some seasonal virus strains.  However, in the southern hemisphere where the weather is getting colder and their traditional flu season is about to start, […]