European Debt Crisis: Euro Deal

There is a French sign at all railway stations: Caution—one train hides another. The problem for the Eurozone is that even if the action this Wednesday resolves the sovereign debt crisis, there will still be the competitiveness crisis. The austerity measures taken across Europe are for the moment at least largely anti-growth. Unless the EU, and in particular the eurozone countries, find ways to promote growth as they pay down debts and reduce deficits, this second hidden crisis will loom even larger than the first.

Link:

Euro deal leaves much to do on rescue fund, Greek debt (Wall Street Journal 10/27/11)

G-20 Opens amid Euro-debt Crisis

As the eurozone crisis rolls on, with world finance ministers urging swift action, eurozone countries seemingly dither.  But there may be method behind the madness.  The banks need to be in the best shape possible before a likely restructuring of Greek debt.   Moreover, the eurozone countries themselves need to work behind the scenes politically both with one another, to agree on the compromises necessary for deeper economic and fiscal integration, and in their own countries, to ensure that they have the support of their own governing coalitions.  The danger with the dithering is not only that the markets will lose patience but that national publics will grow increasingly negative about the bailouts and loan guarantees.  In Southern Europe, public opposition comes more from the left, as citizens question the punitive austerity measures that seem to dampen any possibility of growth and, therefore, the paying off of debts even as they cut into welfare entitlements and public services.  In Northern Europe and Slovakia, the opposition comes more from the right, as citizens question why their savings should go to pay for ‘profligate’ Southerners.  The problem, then, is that EU leaders need not only to come agreement among themselves quickly but that that agreement has to satisfy both global markets and national citizens.  A tall order indeed.

Links:

G-20 finance leaders gather in Paris in crisis mode (Washington Post 10/14/11)

Germany, France Hail Debt Progress (Wall Street Journal 10/15/11)