Category: Comments

Comment on French elections

The presidential elections in France, the legislative elections in Greece, and the regional elections in Germany together mark a turning point for the EU. The results make clear that, despite their differences, European voters all share a common view that current leaders are not delivering. In France and Greece, voters want an end [...]

L’élection présidentielle française: une élection cruciale pour l’Europe

Here’s a comment I co-authored with Maxime Lefebvre for Le Monde online (in French).

Partial EU Pact Reached

There’s a joke told about Gorbachev who, when asked to say one word about the state of the Soviet economy responded: GOOD. When asked for two words: NOT GOOD. The same could be said about the agreement reached Friday. The agreement is good in that the pact on fiscal union gives the ECB what it [...]

France and Germany Push Deal

The fiscal union that German Chancellor Merkel has been pushing is a side show to the real game, but a necessary one.  It gives the ECB an excuse to act as a lender of last resort, to stop the market pressure on Italy and Spain and contagion to France.  It also keeps German voters and [...]

Merkel Warns Crisis Will Last

Merkel’s modus vivendi has always been to go slowly, to wear her opposition out, and to wait. This strategy, which enabled her to become Chancellor, will be her undoing.  The markets don’t wait.  Treaty reform and even the idea of deeper fiscal union are sideshows to the real event.  Unless Merkel agrees to the ECB [...]

Europe’s Leaders Pursue New Pact

Agreement on a fiscal pact that brings deeper economic integration by making budget discipline legally binding and enforceable by European authorities is a welcome move, so long as the European Central Bank takes the next move: to become a lender of last resort. But even it were to do so, and in so [...]

A Comment on Events in Italy

Finally, Italy has a chance to get out of the impasse, and the morass, that it has been in under Berlusconi. Elected in 2008 with the large majority needed to produce the major structural reforms needed for an economy in decline, Berlusconi did nothing—which was a replay of his previous term in office. [...]

European Debt Crisis: Euro Deal

There is a French sign at all railway stations: Caution—one train hides another. The problem for the Eurozone is that even if the action this Wednesday resolves the sovereign debt crisis, there will still be the competitiveness crisis. The austerity measures taken across Europe are for the moment at least largely anti-growth. [...]

G-20 Opens amid Euro-debt Crisis

As the eurozone crisis rolls on, with world finance ministers urging swift action, eurozone countries seemingly dither.  But there may be method behind the madness.  The banks need to be in the best shape possible before a likely restructuring of Greek debt.   Moreover, the eurozone countries themselves need to work behind the scenes politically [...]